Hormuz After the Ceasefire: A Controlled System, Not a Recovery

 A ceasefire has been declared, but the maritime system has not reset.

Transit through the Strait of Hormuz remains restricted, coordinated, and selectively enforced. There has been no return to open commercial navigation. Standard shipping lanes remain largely unused, and no meaningful increase in traffic has followed the ceasefire announcement.

This is not a recovery phase — it is a supervised pause, where operational control remains intact, and geopolitical leverage is still being actively exercised.

Transit Remains Selective and Constrained

Transit volumes remain low and highly selective.

On April 8, five bulk carriers were tracked outbound through the Strait, all moving through the IRGC-controlled corridor around Larak Island rather than through standard commercial shipping lanes. One 76-meter general cargo vessel departing Oman exited the Strait south of Larak Island, outside standard navigation routes.

By April 9, only limited additional movements were observed, including one inbound handysize bulk carrier, a small outbound product tanker, and a sanctioned, falsely flagged LPG carrier carrying Iranian LPG outbound after previously aborting its transit attempt. Additional vessel presence consists primarily of Iran-flagged ships operating within the controlled corridor.

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BW Lesmes completes first GUCD milestone with LNG bunker barge

BW Lesmes has completed its first gassing-up and cool-down (GUCD) operation using an LNG bunker barge, according to BW LNG.

The procedure brings the vessel from inert gas conditions to cargo readiness following drydock and requires tightly controlled execution.

The operation was a first for the company, introducing challenges across planning and onboard delivery.

Master Capt. AdityA Sharma, the crew of BW Lesmes and shore-based operator Zekai Çolakoğlu executed the process with a focus on safety and coordination

The milestone adds operational capability in handling GUCD procedures involving bunker barges and supports deployment in similar conditions.

BW LNG is a company engaged in the ownership and operation of LNG carriers and floating gas infrastructure, including floating storage and regasification units, supporting the global gas supply chain.

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CK Hutchison to seek arbitration over Maersk

CK Hutchison’s Panama-based subsidiary, Panama Ports Company (PPC), is preparing to initiate arbitration proceedings against Maersk over the takeover of two strategic ports near the Panama Canal, according to a report by Reuters.

The dispute centers on the Balboa and Cristobal terminals, located on the Pacific and Atlantic sides of the canal, respectively. PPC alleges that Maersk breached a long-term agreement by aligning with the Panamanian government in efforts to remove the company from its operations at Balboa and replace it with a Maersk-affiliated operator.

“Contrary to the contract, Maersk undermined the agreement and aligned itself with the Republic of Panama in connection with its state-led campaign against PPC and a scheme to replace it through a takeover that installed new port operators,” PPC said in a statement.

The company confirmed that the arbitration proceedings will take place in London and clarified that the claim against Maersk is separate from its ongoing legal action against the Panamanian state.

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LNG Bunker Snapshot: Singapore price falls on weaker premiums | Infinity Dynamics

Rotterdam’s LNG bunker price declines on softer European gas benchmark, while Singapore’s price drops mainly due to a sharp fall in LNG bunker premiums.

Weekly changes in LNG bunker prices:

Rotterdam down by $95/mt to $1,022/mt

Singapore down by $126/mt to $1,280/mt

Rotterdam

Rotterdam’s LNG bunker price has fallen by $95/mt, primarily driven by an almost 10% drop in the front-month Dutch TTF Natural Gas contract, a key benchmark for European gas prices.

The decline in TTF prices has been driven by multiple factors, including “an increase in underground gas storage, expectations of rising temperatures and a recovery in wind power generation, and hopes for easing tensions in the Middle East,” according to the Japan Organization for Metals and Energy Security (JOGMEC).

“Donald Trump does, despite his continuous threats against Iran, appear to be very interested in striking a fast deal with the Iranians to have the Strait of Hormuz re-opened,” added Mind Energy.

“European [gas] prices fell sharply… amid favourable weather forecasts and hopes of de-escalation in the Iran conflict. Strong wind generation could weigh on gas demand for power, while weaker industrial demand and a lighter maintenance season in Norway add to the bearish tone,” two analysts from ING Bank noted.

EU underground gas storage stood at 28% on 3 April, slightly down from 28.2% a week earlier and 18.8% lower year-on-year, according to data from Gas Infrastructure Europe.

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Gulf ceasefire ‘fundamental’ to global shipping: FM spokeswoman | Rig Jobs

A ceasefire, as well as peace and stability, in the Gulf region are the fundamental prerequisites for keeping the international shipping route safe and unimpeded, a spokeswoman for China’s Foreign Ministry has said.

Mao Ning made the remarks after United States President Donald Trump called on countries affected by rising fuel prices caused by the US-Israeli war on Iran to seize the Strait of Hormuz.

Trump also said that the US is going to hit Iran “extremely hard over the next two to three weeks”.

However, at a daily news conference in Beijing on Thursday, Mao said that the root cause for disruption to passage through the Strait of Hormuz lies in the illegal US-Israeli military operations against Iran.

Mao urged parties to the conflict to immediately stop military operations and start peace talks as soon as possible to resolve issues through dialogue and negotiation.

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War speeds orders as Korea shipbuilders secure steady contracts | Rig Jobs

As it approaches a month since war broke out between the United States and Israel and Iran, the order books of Korea’s shipbuilders show no signs of being hit. Some even said contracts are being concluded faster than before, unlike in the past when shipowners tended to delay newbuild orders as uncertainty grew.

According to the shipbuilding industry on the 26th, global shipowners have recently been wrapping up construction contract talks with Korean shipbuilders at a faster pace than before and continuing to place orders. According to Clarksons Research and the shipbuilding industry, major domestic shipbuilders (HD Hyundai Heavy Industries, Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Heavy Industries, HD Hyundai Samho) won orders for a total of 19 vessels over the 25 days from the 28th of last month, when the United States and Israel first struck Iran, through the present. That is nearly five times the four vessels in February, right before the war. The figures are close to or have surpassed March last year (20 vessels) and March 2024 (16 vessels).

A shipbuilding industry official said, “Uncertainty has grown due to the war in the Middle East, but there have been no cases where newbuild contract talks were postponed or orders were delayed,” adding, “According to working-level staff, it was common for the other side to drag out deals under the pretext of negotiations, but recently, the mood is rather to hurry and wrap up contracts.

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Chaucer and Ceto launch Lloyd’s marine MGA, integrating real-time vessel data into underwriting

Chaucer Group (“Chaucer”), the global specialty (re)insurance group, and Ceto AI (“Ceto”), the technology company modernising maritime risk, announce the launch of a new marine Managing General Agent (MGA), operating as a Lloyd’s coverholder.

Under the arrangement, Ceto is authorised to bind marine hull risks on behalf of Chaucer’s Lloyd’s syndicate, with additional capacity provided by Tokio Marine Kiln (“TMK”), a leading insurer and member of the Tokio Marine Group. Ceto uses high-frequency vessel machinery and performance data to inform underwriting decisions.

The launch marks a significant development in the application of real-time operational data within the Lloyd’s marine market, introducing a data-led underwriting model designed to enhance risk selection and accurately reflect the condition and performance of insured vessels.

With the global fleet now averaging more than 22 years of service, vessel age and other uniform parameters in isolation are an increasingly blunt indicator of risk. The MGA’s underwriting method aligns insurance capacity more closely with demonstrated performance and maintenance standards, supporting a more forward-looking, differentiated approach to risk assessment.

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